Bet On Patriots To Go Undefeated

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The 2007 Patriots are the only team to ever go 16-0, running through the NFL like no team ever has - especially in the betting market. From 1989-2018, a road team was favored by more than 15 points. The Patriots are +1200 to go 16-0 during the 2019 regular season, according to FanDuel. The most intriguing of these bets has to do with the odds on the Patriots going undefeated. They Pats are currently listed at +185 to go undefeated for the regular season.

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After just two weeks into the 2019 NFL season, the New England Patriots have once again established themselves as the top team in the league. However, their dominance over the first two games of the season has sparked more than just talks of the Patriots being the league’s best.

Instead, the talks have already turned into whether or not the Patriots can go undefeated during the regular season. It’s a feat that they’ve accomplished one time before (2007) and certainly have the talent on both sides of the ball to make a run at again.

NFL betting sites have taken notice of what the Patriots are doing this season, and they’ve released an interesting futures bet that lists odds on whether or not New England can go undefeated.

NFL Betting Odds

The following NFL prop bet and odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Odds on the Patriots Going 16-0:

Undefeated
  • Yes (+800)
  • No (-2500)

On the surface, the ‘no’ option is a heavy betting favorite. With that said, the ‘yes’ option does offer a solid return. If you were to place a $100 wager on New England going undefeated this season, you would win $800.

Before I pick which option to wager on, let’s examine the “X’s and O’s” of the Patriots’ chances of going undefeated this year.

'That's what we needed, boys.'

Sunday's sights & sounds. pic.twitter.com/HOc63t185a

— New England Patriots (@Patriots) September 18, 2019

First Two Games of 2019 Season

In Week 1, the Patriots destroyed what was a playoff team in the Pittsburgh Steelers. They won by a score of 33 to 3 and demolished the Steelers defense. New England tallied 465 total yards on offense and held the Steelers to just 308 total yards.

The Patriots also forced one turnover, won the Time of Possession battle and outclassed the Steelers in every aspect of the game.

In Week 2, New England went down to Miami and blew out the worst team in the league by a score of 43 to 0. The Patriots even scored two touchdowns on defense and dominated Miami in all aspects of the game. It was if New England was playing against a high school football team.

Jets at Patriots in Week 3

For Week 3, the Patriots will host the New York Jets who were just embarrassed on Monday Night Football by the Cleveland Browns and are starting their 3rd string quarterback Luke Falk on Sunday. Additionally, the Jets could be down a few key contributors on defense.

The Patriots have gone 9-1 against the Jets in their last 10 head to head meetings, are 17-0 in their last 17 home games, and have won eight straight against the Jets at Gillette Stadium. Currently, New England is a -22 point favorite over the Jets at most of the reputable NFL betting sites, and it’s a good bet that they will remain undefeated after this weekend.

'It’s a division football game, be excited for it.'#Patriots continue preparations for the Jets.

— New England Patriots (@Patriots) September 19, 2019

Remaining Games of the Season

Following the Jets game, New England will travel to Buffalo to take on the Bills who Tom Brady and the Pats have owned over the last 15 years. The following is a quick look at their remaining schedule heading into Week 3:

WeekDateOpponentTime (EST)TV
3Sun, Sep. 22vs. New York Jets1:00pmCBS
4Sun, Sep. 29at Buffalo Bills1:00pmCBS
5Sun, Oct. 6at Washington Redskins1:00pmCBS
6Thu, Oct. 10vs. New York Giants8:20pmFOX, NFL Net.
7Mon, Oct 21at New York Jets8:15pmESPN
8Sun, Oct. 27vs. Cleveland Browns4:25pmCBS
9Sun, Nov. 3at Baltimore Ravens8:20pmNBC
10BYE
11Sun, Nov. 17at Philadelphia Eagles4:25pmCBS
12Sun, Nov. 24vs. Dallas Cowboys4:25pmFOX
13Sun, Dec. 1at Houston Texans8:20pmNBC
14Sun, Dec. 8vs. Kansas City Chiefs4:25pmCBS
15Sun, Dec. 15at Cincinnati Bengals1:00pmCBS
16Sun, Dec. 22vs. Buffalo BillsTBDCBS
17Sun, Dec. 29vs. Miami Dolphins1:00pmCBS

Before the Patriots bye week, they could easily be 9-0. The assumed toughest games during the pre-bye schedule is at Buffalo and at Baltimore. However, when you look at their head to head records since 2003, it’s not that close. In their last 32 games against the Bills, the Patriots are 28-4 and have won five straight meetings. In their last 19 trips to Buffalo, the Patriots have gone 17-2 and have won seven consecutive games.

Patriots Undefeated Regular Season

The Patriots and the Ravens have played against each other 13 times with New England holding a 10-3 record. The Patriots have won three straight games overall in this head to head series and are 3-1 on the road at Baltimore.

Following the bye week, the Patriots play against the Eagles, Cowboys, Texans and Chiefs. Of those four teams, New England gets the toughest games at home when they host Dallas in late November and the Chiefs two weeks later.

Just like with the Bills and the Ravens, when you look at the Patriots’ record against these teams you will see that it’s not going to be as tough as some might think:

  • The Patriots are 3-0 against the Eagles in their last three trips to Philadelphia.
  • The Patriots have won five straight games against Dallas including three straight at home contests.
  • New England is 10-1 all-time against the Texans and are 3-1 at Houston with two straight road wins.
  • The Patriots are 6-1 against the Chiefs at home since 2000.

On paper, the Chiefs present the toughest test for New England this year, but the Patriots have proven that the Chiefs have been no match when playing at Gillette Stadium.

One team that has given the Patriots fits has been the Carolina Panthers who are 3-1 against New England in their last four head to head meetings. Fortunately for New England, they don’t play Carolina or any other team that has given them problems in recent year.

A Wealth of Talent

Coming into the 2019 NFL season, the Patriots were loaded on both sides of the ball. However, the addition of wide receiver Antonio Brown and the return of wide receiver Josh Gordon has turned this offense into one of the best in the NFL. After two weeks, the Patriots’ offense ranks as follows:

  • 5th with 422 total yards per game
  • 2nd in scoring at 38 points per game
  • 5th in passing at 310.5 yards per game

Defensively, the Patriots have been the best in the NFL after two weeks:

  • 1st in yards allowed at 246 ypg
  • 1st in scoring defense as they’ve only allowed 3 points in two games
  • 8th against the pass at 209 yards per game
  • 2nd against the rush at 37 yards per game
  • 1st in the league with five total interceptions

Not only does New England have a wealth of talent on offense, but their defense may also be the best we’ve seen under Bill Belichick.

Defense had a day. pic.twitter.com/7x5vze9nui

— New England Patriots (@Patriots) September 15, 2019

Giants Beat Patriots Undefeated

Experience With Going Undefeated

The New England Patriots went 16-0 in 2007 and established themselves as the team of this century. They added both Wes Welker and Randy Moss to the offense and the team exploded up and down the field every week.

In fact, only two times did the Patriots score less than 27 points in a game. New England scored at least 31 points in 12 of 16 games that year. They also scored 48 or more points in four games as well.

This year, they’ve already scored 38 ppg over the first two weeks and should be able to put up 30+ points on the Jets in Week 3. Their current offense is eerily similar to the one they had in 2007. However, this year’s defense appears to be more talented.

What Year Did The Patriots Go Undefeated

Tom Brady and Bill Belichick know what it takes to go undefeated, and that experience will help this team as they coast through the first half of the year before playing some tougher opponents. With a loaded offense and more talent on defense than ever before, this team will push for a 16-0 record.

Will The Patriots Run The Table?

I believe New England has a great chance at going undefeated this year. The +800 line is only going to decrease with each win. I would jump on this line before New England crushes the Jets this weekend and eventually cruise to a 9-0 record heading into their bye week.

The schedule does get tougher after New England’s bye week, but it’s nothing they can’t handle. Unless the Patriots take a surprise loss to someone like the Buffalo Bills, I don’t see Brady and Belichick losing during the regular season.

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